FNUS72 KMLB 141931
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCENIC 302...US FOREST FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
231 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1425 EST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...IT APPEARS THE COMBINATION OF STRONGER DAYTIME HEATING
HAS ALLOWED FOR A DEEPER MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER THAN ORIGINALLY FORECAST.
AS A RESULT...WINDS HAVE BECOME STRONGER, TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE
FORECAST VALUES BY ABOUT 3 DEGREES AND DEW POINTS HAVE DROPPED ABOUT
5 DEGREES BELOW PREVIOUS EXPECTATIONS. THE NET RESULT IS THE CURRENT
CONDITIONS OF RH VALUES NEAR 30 PERCENT WITH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.

EXPECT THESE CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH ABOUT 4 TO 5 PM...FOLLOWED
BY THE TYPICAL DIURNAL LATE DAY FALL IN TEMPERATURES AND WINDS BY SUNSET
...AND RH VALUES RISING ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....56.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....NONE.
WEATHER TYPE....NONE.
TEMP............82  81  77  74  69  68  66  64  63  62  61  61
RH..............31  33  37  49  65  76  81  87  90  90  93  93
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   7   6   4   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.13  13  11  10  6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............8.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....20.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090214.SCENI.02/MLB