FNUS74 KAMA 161253
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR CANYON RX...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
653 AM CST MON FEB 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0655 CST ON FEBRUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL START OFF LIGHT...BUT WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY TO 10 TO 15 MPH
BEFORE 10 AM. THIS INCREASING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON
WHEN 20 FOOT WINDS REACH 15 TO 22 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES SHOULD LOWER TO THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE. THOUGH
VENTILATION WILL BE VERY GOOD...FIRE SPREAD SHOULD BE RAPID IF
FIRE IS IGNITED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 22 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 13 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 35 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 32 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 55 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000-7500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 29 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...NUNEZ
REQUESTED BY...TODD WOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090216.CEDAR.01/AMA