FNUS74 KAMA 162336 FWSAMA SPOT FORECAST FOR STILLING BASIN...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 536 PM CST MON FEB 16 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1740 CST ON FEBRUARY 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CST TUESDAY FOR THE BURN SITE DUE TO STRONG WINDS...LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER... .DISCUSSION... A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE BURN SITE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES IN EASTERN COLORADO AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL DEEPEN TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN THE WARMER AND MUCH DRIER DOWNSLOPING SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS TO INCREASE INTO THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS ACROSS THE BURN SITE AROUND MID MORNING AFTER THE LOW LEVEL INVERSION BREAKS. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MIN 46. RH..................47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3000-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............52 49 48 48 48 47 RH..............47 53 56 54 54 54 20 FT WIND......S 14 S 14 S 14 S 14 S 10 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73. RH..................MIN 13 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 26 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH BECOMING WEST AND INCREASING TO 47 TO 49 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 47 57 66 72 73 RH..............51 44 25 16 13 13 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 12 SW 17 W 26 W 31 W 31 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 30 40 45 45 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...SCHNEIDER REQUESTED BY...TODD WOOD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090216.STILL.02/AMA