FNUS71 KBUF 170014
FWSBUF

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONTINENTAL 3407...NWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
714 PM EST MON FEB 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1856 EST ON FEBRUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE ONE MORE PLEASANT WINTER DAY ON TUESDAY
BEFORE A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE AREA TRACKS FROM THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY TO NEAR LAKE ONTARIO BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND ON TO MAINE BY
THURSDAY. THIS STORM WILL SPREAD A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK WITH AN INITIAL PERIOD OF SNOW WHICH
SHOULD CHANGE TO RAIN LATER WEDNESDAY AND THEN AND THEN BACK TO SNOW
ON THURSDAY. COLDER WEATHER WITH SNOW SHOWERS WILL THEN FOLLOW INTO
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

WINDS COULD POSE A PROBLEM FOR CRANE OPERATIONS AS EARLY AS
WEDNESDAY ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE ABOVE MENTIONED STORM SYSTEM
WITH SPEEDS OF 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH AROUND 1 THOUSAND FEET
AGL. THE POTENTIAL IS STRONGER FOR THURSDAY WITH WEST WINDS AS
HIGH AS 30 KNOTS AROUND 1 THOUSAND FEET AGL.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 18.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....MIN 3 (POOR).

TIME (EST)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........47  40  34  30  33  37  40  44  53  57  58
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............25  25  24  23  23  22  22  21  20  20  19
RH..............69  70  70  71  72  73  75  77  80  83  87
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10      5   5   5   5   5   5
SMK DISPERSION..19  15  11  9   6   4   3   3   4   6   6

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....MAX 38 (FAIR).

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........60  61  62  64  67  69  71  72  72  72  72  71
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............19  18  19  22  26  29  32  33  34  34  34  33
RH..............91  95  95  84  72  60  51  47  45  45  47  49
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  9   9   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.    10  10  10  10  15  15  15  10  10  10  10
SMK DISPERSION..6   8   14  24  34  38  38  36  35  33  31  27

$$

FORECASTER...HITCHCOCK/SAGE
REQUESTED BY...JUDY LEVAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20090216.CONTI.08/BUF