FNUS74 KMAF 161546
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCGRUDER...NM - BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
946 AM CST MON FEB 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON FEBRUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM CST TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY AS MID AND HIGH CLOUDINESS
PASS ACROSS THE REGION. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...KEEPING WINDS FROM THE SOUTH
TO SOUTHEAST AT SPEEDS NEAR 10-15 MPH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL DROP TO NEAR 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.
OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY WILL BE FAIR TONIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL
DETERIORATE TUESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM PASSES NORTH OF
THE REGION...AND LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE BURN SITE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY AIR WILL ALSO RESULT
IN RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM CST TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 25 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS
                    NEAR 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 /LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR /12000-28000 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING
                    TO GOOD /68000 KNOT-FT/ LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (MST)      11 AM        3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY        MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE
TEMP............51           61
RH..............41           25
20 FT WIND DIR..SE           S
20 FT WIND SPD..12           12
20 FT WIND GUST.             17
MIX HGT (FT)....2500         3800
TRANSP WIND DIR.S            S
TRANSP WIND SPD.11           17
HAINES INDEX....3            3

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........52 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST TOWARD MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 /LOW/.

TIME (MST)      5 PM         9 PM         1 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............60           52           46
RH..............27           44           48
20 FT WIND DIR..S            S            S
20 FT WIND SPD..10           9            9
20 FT WIND GUST.
HAINES INDEX....3            3            3

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. BECOMING VERY WINDY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 12 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH INCREASING
                    TO WEST 23 TO 32 MPH...WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 /LOW/.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD /7000-45000 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT /226000-234000 KNOT-FT/ IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (MST)      5 AM         9 AM         1 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............43           52           66
RH..............50           29           15
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           SW            W
20 FT WIND SPD..9            15           25
20 FT WIND GUST.10           20           35
MIX HGT (FT)....500          1500         5500
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW           W            W
TRANSP WIND SPD.14           30           41
HAINES INDEX....4            4            4

$$

FORECASTER...LINDSEY
REQUESTED BY...TY BRYSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090216.MCGRU.01/MAF