FNUS74 KAMA 171341
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR STILLING BASIN...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
741 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0755 CST ON FEBRUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CST
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A RED FLAG WARNING
OVER THE TARGET AREA TODAY. VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH EXISTING DRY FUELS WILL PROMOTE RAPID
FIRE SPREAD...SO FIRE IGNITION IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 26 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 40 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 28 TO 33
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 55 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500-8000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 29 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST WINDS 15 TO 28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 45 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 13 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 21 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12500-13000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 16 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...NUNEZ
REQUESTED BY...TODD WOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090217.STILL.01/AMA