FNUS75 KGJT 171553
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CANYON CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
853 AM MST TUE FEB 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MST ON FEBRUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL BE OVER THE AREA TODAY. ONE WEAK
DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE BURN SITE BY MID MORNING...FOR A
LULL IN SHOWER ACTIVITY. BY MID AFTERNOON...COOLER AIR ALOFT WILL
INCREASE INSTABILITY AS THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS MOVES OVER THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES. AS A RESULT SHOWERS WILL RE-DEVELOP.  DUE TO THE CONVECTIVE
NATURE OF THESE SHOWERS...SNOW OR MIXED PHASE PRECIPITATION WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SHOWERS DECREASING BY MID
                    MORNING. THEN SHOWERS RE-DEVELOPING IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE (0-3 MPH) UNTIL 1100...
                    THEN BECOMING WEST 5-10 AND INCREASING TO
                    8-12 MPH AFTER 1300 WITH GUSTS 20-25 MPH
                    POSSIBLE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...LIKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090217.CANYO.01/GJT