FNUS72 KJAX 171014
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GUANA RIVER WMA...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
514 AM EST TUE FEB 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM NORTHEAST OF THE AREA TODAY
WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE
AREA. THE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

FOR TODAY...A NORTHEAST WIND AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH WILL SHIFT TO
MORE EAST THIS AFTERNOON.

WINDY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AS THE STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES BUT INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
IS ANTICIPATED. DUE TO HIGH TRANSPORT WINDS...DISPERSION INDICES WILL
BE MUCH HIGHER THAN NORMAL.

DRIER AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WHICH
ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-3800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST TO EAST 14 MPH...THEN SOUTHEAST LATE THIS
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....46.

TIME (EST)       10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..........25     30     40     35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.............53     57     60     60
RH...............63     54     51     53
20 FT WIND.......NE 11  E 10   E 10   E 10
20 FT WIND GUST..16     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT).....2400   2400   3800   3700
TRANSPORT WIND...E 13   E 13   E 13   SE 14

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-800 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.

TIME (EST)       6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)..........30     35     35     35     42     46
WEATHER COV......
WEATHER TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.............57     54     53     52     51     51
RH...............60     70     77     82     86     89
20 FT WIND.......SE 9   SE 8   S 8    S 8    S 8    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST..15     15     15     10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT).....3700   1600   1100   1100   500    600
TRANSPORT WIND...SE 14  SE 15  SE 13  SE 13  S 12   S 16

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 16 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 26
                    TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....75.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN ELLENBERGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090217.GUANA.01/JAX