FNUS73 KJKL 171222
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR ANO BURN PILES...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
722 AM EST TUE FEB 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON THEN GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS
EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL EASE OFF TO OUR EAST ALLOWING WINDS
TO VEER TO THE SOUTH AND INCREASE SLIGHTLY TODAY. IN ADDITION TO THE
INCREASE IN WIND SPEEDS...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO
AROUND 24 PERCENT ACROSS THE FIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A STORM SYSTEM
WILL THEN APPROACH TONIGHT AND PASS THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY
BRINGING WHAT IS EXPECTED TO BE A WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN...ALONG
WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ON WEDNESDAY WILL
SWITCH TO THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY
USHERING IN A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN
PLACE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....63.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........19     29     34     45     56
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............32     42     50     53     50
RH..............61     37     29     26     37
20 FT WIND......SSE 2  S 5    SW 7   SW 8   S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5             12     14     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS DEVELOPING AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.
POP.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........59     71     88     100    100    100
WEATHER COV.....              CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............48     43     42     41     40     41
RH..............41     59     68     73     85     89
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 6    S 8    S 10   S 12   S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     20     15
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      2      2      2

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY. A CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH AFTER 1200.
POP.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....71.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........100    98     94     92     86     78
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............44     47     51     54     56     54
RH..............87     84     78     76     75     78
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 8    S 12   SW 15  SW 16  W 15
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     25     30     30     30
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...EDWARDS
REQUESTED BY...BONITA JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090217.ANOBU.01/JKL