FNUS74 KMOB 171305
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR LAKE...FL. DIV. OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
705 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0705 CST ON FEBRUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...INCREASED CLOUDS AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES CAN BE EXPECTED
TODAY AND WEDNESDAY IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING COLD FRONT APPROACHING
FROM THE WEST. FOR TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME BETTER DEVELOPED IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT
WITH A FEW STORMS POSSIBLY BECOMING STRONG TO SEVERE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING. A STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WILL ALSO RESULT IN HIGHER THAN NORMAL DISPERSION INDICES THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...CONTINUING IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY AS A MODERATE
TO STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL HAVE
TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.


.TODAY...

TIME (CST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........48     48     48     58     58     58
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............39     49     55     57     58     54
RH..............72     54     44     42     44     59
20 FT WIND DIR..E      E      SE     SE     SE     S
20 FT WIND SPD..4      4      4      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....400    1400   2500   2500   1500   400
MIX HGT (M).....120    430    760    760    460    120
TRANSP WIND DIR.E      E      SE     SE     SE     S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6      7      7      7      8      8
TRANS SPD (M/S).3      3      3      3      4      4
DISPERSION......3      12     21     15     12     6
LVORI...........3      2      2      2      2      3
CWR.............0      0      0      10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 12
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 16 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 14 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING INCREASING
                    TO 6 IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING
                    DECREASING TO 5.

$$
FORECASTER...MOB FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...RANDY GILBERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090217.BEARL.01/MOB