FNUS72 KTAE 171319 CCA
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BU 111 112...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
818 AM EST TUE FEB 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850) 942-8835.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...THE MUCH DRIER AIR WHICH MOVED INTO THE REGION ON
MONDAY...WILL HOLD ON ACROSS THE AREA FOR MUCH OF TODAY...
ALLOWING LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO OCCUR OVER
MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA ONCE AGAIN. HOWEVER...HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS AND
THEN MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST...
SO THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES AND LONGEST DURATIONS OF SUB 35
PERCENT RELATIVE HUMIDITY ARE EXPECTED OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
NEAR THE SUWANNEE RIVER VALLEY.

.TODAY...

RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 5 TO 7 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
                    SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2800-3500
                    FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSION....64.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
RH..............59     44     35     32     36     63
20 FT WIND......E 6    SE 8   SE 9   S 9    S 7    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     10     10     10


$$
FORECASTER...JAMSKI
REQUESTED BY...DAVID QUISENBERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090217.BU111.01/TAE