FNUS71 KBUF 181155 FWSBUF SPOT FORECAST FOR CONTINENTAL 3407...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 655 AM EST WED FEB 18 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0643 EST ON FEBRUARY 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS MORNING WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES TO SOUTHERN MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON AND ON ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO TONIGHT...BEFORE REDEVELOPING OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST THURSDAY. THIS STORM WILL SPREAD A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK TODAY WITH AN INITIAL PERIOD OF SNOW OR MIXED SNOW AND RAIN THIS MORNING...CHANGING TO RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN BACK TO SNOW THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL BRING SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW AS IT PASSES BY TO OUR SOUTH ON SATURDAY. WINDS COULD POSE A PROBLEM FOR ANY CRANE OPERATIONS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE TO 100 FOOT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE DURING THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTH AT 20 TO 25 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. STRONGER WINDS ARE LIKELY THURSDAY WITH SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH AT THE 100 FOOT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY IN THE MORNING...CHANGING TO RAIN. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 21 TO 26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSION....MAX 37 (FAIR). TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........94 98 98 99 99 99 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............30 31 31 33 34 36 37 39 40 42 41 39 RH..............62 66 70 72 71 71 70 69 67 64 67 75 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..8 10 13 14 16 17 17 17 16 15 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 20 15 SMK DISPERSION..5 6 6 7 10 17 26 34 37 37 33 27 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (100 PERCENT). RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSION....MIN 6 (POOR). TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN SN SN SN SN SN SN TEMP............37 36 35 36 36 35 35 34 34 34 33 32 RH..............82 87 83 83 82 83 83 83 82 81 81 80 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W 20 FT WIND SPD..12 10 10 10 12 13 14 15 15 15 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST. 15 15 20 20 25 20 20 SMK DISPERSION..20 14 12 11 10 8 6 7 12 20 28 33 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 17 TO 24 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 32 MPH...INCREASING TO 33 TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSION....MAX 101 (VERY GOOD). TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........93 100 100 100 100 100 100 94 93 93 93 93 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TEMP............31 30 30 28 27 27 27 29 27 27 27 27 RH..............81 80 77 80 79 76 74 67 72 72 72 72 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..14 15 18 20 22 22 23 24 23 23 23 22 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 35 35 35 SMK DISPERSION..35 39 47 58 67 71 73 76 84 93 100 101 $$ FORECASTER...TMA REQUESTED BY...JUDY LEVAN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20090218.CONTI.01/BUF