FNUS72 KJAX 181341
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BELMORE 18...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
841 AM EST WED FEB 18 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA TODAY
BRINGING WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. A FEW
STORMS TONIGHT MAY BE SEVERE. THE FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH
THE AREA THURSDAY MORNING BRINGING WINDY AND MUCH DRIER
CONDITIONS. MIN RH'S ARE FORECAST TO FALL BEHIND THE FRONT ALONG
WITH WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 MPH.
A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL MOVE IN AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN AND RED FLAG CONDITIONS APPEAR LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST
FLORIDA BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 17 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 26
                    TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....83.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........55     52     40     40     58
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     65     71     73     72
RH..............70     52     43     43     47
20 FT WIND......S 10   S 15   SW 16  SW 17  SW 15
20 FT WIND GUST.25     30     30     30     25
MIX HGT (FT)....600    2300   4000   4000   2600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 20   S 26   SW 30  SW 30  SW 28

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO 18 TO 21
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....16.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........58     73     73     73     87     87
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............70     65     63     62     61     60
RH..............54     66     72     80     86     89
20 FT WIND......SW 14  SW 13  SW 13  SW 14  SW 14  SW 15
20 FT WIND GUST.25     20     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   1200   900    900    700    800
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 28  SW 23  SW 20  SW 20  SW 18  SW 21

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 20 TO 24 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.

$$
FORECASTER...CARROLL
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MACEWEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090218.BELMO.02/JAX