FNUS73 KPAH 190407 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRE TRAINING COURSE...MISSOURI DEPT CONSERVATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1007 PM CST WED FEB 18 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WILL WORK UP THE NORTH-FACING RIDGE THROUGHOUT THE PRESCRIBED BURN PERIOD...BECOMING MORE NORTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH WILL BE LIKELY DURING THE MORNING AND MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THE NOON HOUR...DURING MAXIMUM MIXING OF THE LOW LEVEL WINDS GIVEN FULL SUNSHINE. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL NOT LIKELY FALL BELOW AT OR NEAR 30 PERCENT UNTIL AFTER 2 PM. TRAINING NOTE...THIS DISCUSSION AND FORECAST IS FOR TRAINING PURPOSES ONLY... PLEASE DO NOT USE FOR OPERATIONAL PRESCRIBED BURN PURPOSES UNLESS COORDINATED WITH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. REMOTE SITE OBSERVATIONS ARE ALWAYS WELCOME AND FEEDBACK IS ENCOURAGED DURING AND AFTER THE PRESCRIBED BURN. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........34 AT IGNITION...MAX 40. RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3600-5500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............28 29 30 32 34 36 37 37 38 39 38 37 RH..............59 57 58 51 45 40 39 36 33 33 32 34 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 20 25 25 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 4.3 3.9 3.6 3.8 4.1 4.4 4.7 5.0 5.2 5.5 5.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.15 17 21 23 23 23 22 21 18 18 20 23 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...SMITH REQUESTED BY...DAVE NIEBRUEGGE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090219.FIRET.01/PAH