FNUS73 KPAH 202025 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR PECK RANCH DEMO...MDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 225 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1430 CST ON FEBRUARY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AS A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT APPROACHES...SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INCREASE. SATURDAY MORNING...THE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION...GENERATING RAIN FIRST... THEN SNOW ACROSS THE REGION. ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW SHOULD BE LIMITED TO LESS THAN AN INCH. PRECIPITATION WILL END BY SATURDAY NIGHT. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEHIND THE FRONT. COLD TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE HUMIDITY WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33. RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400-2200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 31 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RAIN TEMP............47 47 46 44 40 36 RH..............40 42 45 49 57 67 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 8 S 8 SW 8 SW 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 2900 2100 1400 1500 1900 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 30 SW 31 SW 31 SW 30 SW 29 W 28 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 39. RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................58 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500-4300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-4700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 26 TO 31 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....SNOW SNOW NONE NONE TEMP............35 35 36 35 RH..............66 64 56 52 20 FT WIND......W 8G15 NW 10G25 NW 10G30 NW 10G20 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 3100 3700 4300 TRANSPORT WIND..W 26 W 26 NW 28 NW 30 CWR.............60 60 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...GARY GOGNAT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090221.PECKR.01/PAH