FNUS74 KSJT 211336
FWSSJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR STAMFORD WILDLAND SCHOOL...STAMFORD FIREDEPT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO
736 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1330 CST ON FEBRUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...

GOOD MORNING WYATT. AS YOU KNOW...WE ARE VERY DRY. THE COLD FRONT
WHICH MOVED THROUGH YOUR AREA THIS MORNING HAS BROUGHT ANOTHER
REINFORCING SURGE OF DRY AIR. THE GOOD NEWS IS WINDS WILL DIMINISH
BY YOUR PROPOSED IGNITION TIME. THE BAD NEWS IS RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. AS YOU LIKELY
KNOW...WE DID HAVE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. WE DECIDED TO CANCEL IT...AND WE DID NOT ISSUE A
RED FLAG WARNING. THE MAIN REASON WE DECIDED NOT TO ISSUE A RED
FLAG IS WE BELIEVE SUSTAINED WINDS AT 20 FEET WILL FALL BELOW OUR
20 MPH THRESHOLD THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...YOU MAY HAVE OCCASIONAL
GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON AROUND 25 MPH. AGAIN...THE GOOD NEWS IS YOU
CAN EXPECT NORTH WINDS WITH LITTLE IF ANY VARIATION IN DIRECTION
THIS AFTERNOON. PLEASE BE CAREFUL AND CALL US BEFORE IGNITION FOR
AN UPDATE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY BLOWING
                    DUST IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
RH..................23 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 17 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    BREEZY. NORTH WINDS 17 TO 26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 40 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 16 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400-4000
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 33 TO 41 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (CST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14  11  8   5   2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............50  52  53  53  52
RH..............23  21  19  17  17
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..14  14  12  10  6
20 FT WIND GUST.30  25  25  20  10

$$
FORECASTER...TERRY HUBER, SENIOR FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...WYATT OAKLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090221.STAMF.01/SJT