FNUS72 KTAE 221400
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR SMR 400  401    402...ST. MARKS NWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
900 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL EXIT SOUTH OF THE BURN LOCATION
THIS MORNING. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...ANOTHER REINFORCING
SHOT OF COOL AND VERY DRY AIR WILL BEGIN TO ARRIVE ON GUSTY
NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS. VERY DRY AIR WILL HAVE ARRIVED BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY EXPECTED.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
35 PERCENT WILL ARRIVE THIS AFTERNOON WITH CONDITIONS FALLING
WELL BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) WITH HIGH CLOUDS
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    20 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO BETWEEN 3200 AND 3500
                    FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............54     58     60     63     61     54
RH..............82     59     42     33     32     39
20 FT WIND......NW 10  NW 12  N 13   NW 12  NW 10  NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.18     19     20     19     16     10
DISPERSION......60.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO AROUND 200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    4 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION..........6.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
                    PASSING HIGH CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY INCREASING TO
                    7 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION..........45.

$$
FORECASTER...MROCZKA
REQUESTED BY...GREG TITUS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090222.SMR40.01/TAE