FNUS73 KEAX 231818 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR G18...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1218 PM CST MON FEB 23 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... FOR TODAY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION AS A SURFACE RIDGE SLIDES OFF TO THE EAST. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL STILL BE A LITTLE ON THE LOW SIDE THANKS TO THE EXITING RIDGE AND INCREASE WARM AIR ADVECTION ALOFT. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL GET RATHER LOW AGAIN TODAY AS THE EASTERLY WINDS WILL NOT BE CARRYING ANY ADDITIONAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. AS DAYTIME TEMPERATURES RISE...LOOK FOR AREAS FROM EAST CENTRAL KANSAS INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI TO HAVE AFTERNOON MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 25%. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BEGIN TO RECOVER STARTING TUESDAY AS SURFACE WINDS START PULLING MODEST AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....28 AT IGNITION...MAX 41. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........19 20 20 19 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............28 35 41 38 RH..............57 41 35 43 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 9 SE 12 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 30. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 77 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........19 27 38 47 49 51 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............36 36 34 33 32 31 RH..............47 54 60 64 70 74 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 10 SE 12 SE 13 SE 12 SE 13 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 51. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 47 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........53 54 54 55 57 61 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............30 31 39 46 50 51 RH..............79 78 61 54 48 47 20 FT WIND......SE 14 SE 14 SE 15 S 17 S 17 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...JULY REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090223.G18__.01/EAX