FNUS72 KMHX 231149 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH BELL ISLAND...US FWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 649 AM EST MON FEB 23 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON FEBRUARY 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. THE HIGH WILL MOVE OFFSHORE LATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON FRIDAY AND MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...MAINLY IN THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE...ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WILL RESULT IN INCREASED FIRE DANGER TODAY. HOWEVER...A MITIGATING FACTOR FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH WILL BE COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4600-5600 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH. TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........12 0 1 12 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............38 41 41 40 RH..............38 32 31 37 20 FT WIND......NW 9 NW 9 NW 11 NW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 20 18 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24. MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 22 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........7 5 4 3 2 1 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............37 33 30 29 27 26 RH..............40 49 58 63 68 71 20 FT WIND......NW 7 NW 6 NW 6 NW 6 NW 6 NW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 4 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500-4300 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 22 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 9 MPH LATE. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........0 1 3 5 6 8 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............26 27 35 39 42 41 RH..............71 65 45 37 33 36 20 FT WIND......NW 6 NW 6 NW 6 N 6 N 5 N 4 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 5 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WINGENROTH REQUESTED BY...GREG SUSZEK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090223.NORTH.01/MHX