FNUS72 KTAE 231441
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNUNIT111...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
941 AM EST MON FEB 23 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EST ON FEBRUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A VERY DRY AIRMASS HAS SETTLED OVER THE REGION IN THE
WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THROUGH THE AREA THIS PAST WEEKEND.
THIS DRY AIR WILL RESULT IN VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AT THE
BURN SITE BY THIS AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO
FALL TO 25 PERCENT OR BELOW FOR 2 TO 3 HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. THE
AIRMASS WILL MOISTEN SLIGHTLY ON TUESDAY AS WINDS VEER TO EAST AND
SOUTHEAST DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON OFF THE WATERS OF
APALACHEE BAY...HOWEVER CRITICAL DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
35 PERCENT STILL APPEAR LIKELY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 AND 3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION..........68.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
RH..............50     35     28     23     23     34
20 FT WIND......NE 8   NE 10  NE 11  N 10   N 9    NW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.11     13     14     14     12     6

$$
FORECASTER...MROCZKA
REQUESTED BY...DAVID QUISENBERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090223.BURNU.01/TAE