FNUS74 KLZK 251257 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR TRACE CREEK II...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 656 AM CST WED FEB 25 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0715 CST ON FEBRUARY 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS MORNING. THIS IS PROVIDING SOUTHEAST AND EAST WINDS OVER ARKANSAS. MOISTURE WILL BE ABLE TO INCREASE AS THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OUT OF THE ROCKIES THURSDAY AND WILL BRING INCREASING RAIN CHANCES TO ARKANSAS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE AREA FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 66. RH..................66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3400 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 66 66 66 RH..............66 67 67 67 68 68 63 62 62 64 64 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 15 15 14 14 14 14 15 16 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...L PYLE REQUESTED BY...KURT RADCLIFF TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090225.TRACE.01/LZK