FNUS72 KILM 271538 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR PIREWAY...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1038 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1050 EST ON FEBRUARY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A MILD SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN TODAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES FURTHER OFFSHORE...AND A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL NORTHWEST OF THE AREA SATURDAY. DEEP LOW PRESSURE ALOFT WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...BRINGING COLD RAIN AND THE POSSIBILITY OF SNOW. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN TUESDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH MID WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900-5600 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 3200 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 0 TO 6 MPH...INCREASING TO 22 TO 28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........45 45 51 71 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RAIN RAIN TEMP............63 67 67 67 RH..............69 60 60 68 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 10 S 10 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....4900 4900 5600 3200 TRANSPORT WIND..S 22 S 22 S 22 S 28 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 21 TO 28 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 0 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........91 97 99 99 99 99 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............63 59 58 56 55 55 RH..............79 91 98 100 100 100 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 4 S 3 S 3 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 800 600 600 700 300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 28 S 21 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 23 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 99 98 96 96 98 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS WIDSPD WIDSPD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............55 59 61 63 63 63 RH..............100 87 83 81 79 78 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 6 S 7 S 9 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....300 600 2000 2000 1800 1300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 13 S 12 S 12 S 14 SE 23 $$ FORECASTER...KEEBLER REQUESTED BY...ROBERT CREECH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090227.PIREW.01/ILM