FNUS74 KMAF 271358 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR DAVIS MOUNTAINS UNIT 2...TEXAS PARKS AND WILDLIFE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 758 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0834 CST ON FEBRUARY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...STRONG COLD FRONT WITH WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT... .DISCUSSION... CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ACROSS THE REGION BY AFTERNOON WITH WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH AND MINIMUM RH/S FALLING BELOW 10%. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE BY EARLY EVENING WITH POOR TO FAIR OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN A SUDDEN WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE IN WIND SPEED AFTER 3 AM TONIGHT. NORTH WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING RH/S CAN BE EXPECTED AS WELL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........8 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND BECOMING WEST 15 TO 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 /MODERATE/. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR /0-14000 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO EXCELLENT /121000-126000 KNOT-FT/ IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............49 61 70 74 76 RH..............18 11 8 8 8 20 FT WIND DIR..VRB VRB W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 10 15 17 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 30 35 MIX HGT (FT)....< 100 1000 5500 5500 7000 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.11 14 22 22 18 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39. MAX HUMIDITY........43 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 17 TO 22 MPH TOWARD MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 /LOW/. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT /143000 KNOT-FT/ DECREASING TO POOR /0-5000 KNOT-FT/ IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............73 59 50 46 44 39 RH..............9 15 19 22 27 39 20 FT WIND DIR..W NW W W NW N 20 FT WIND SPD..17 7 6 4 10 22 20 FT WIND GUST.27 15 30 MIX HGT (FT)....6500 6500 500 < 100 < 100 < 100 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W NW TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 10 9 9 8 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PCT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 /VERY LOW/. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD /14000-45000 KNOT-FT/. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............39 39 42 44 46 46 RH..............43 42 35 29 27 25 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..25 25 20 18 15 15 20 FT WIND GUST.40 40 30 20 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 1500 2000 2000 3000 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 25 21 21 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...CICCONE REQUESTED BY...JEFF SPARKS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090227.DAVIS.01/MAF