FNUS72 KTAE 271241
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 415...ST. MARKS NWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
741 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.AT (850)942-8835

.DISCUSSION...AFTER ANOTHER DAY OF MILD TEMPERATURES AND
RELATIVELY HIGH HUMIDITIES TODAY...A DEEP AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN GULF STATES AND MOVE RAPIDLY
EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. ON SATURDAY. ACCOMPANYING
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE A STRONG COLD FRONT...THAT WILL SWEEP EAST
ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. A
SQUALL LINE WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...BRINGING WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN. FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT...STRONG NORTH
WINDS WILL SPREAD MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIR ACROSS THE AREA
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     65     68     69     68     65
RH..............78     69     62     59     61     70
20 FT WIND......SE 9   S 12   S 13   S 14   S 14   S 13
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15
DISPERSION......44.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION..........14.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 21
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1000...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100 FT AGL IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 26
                    TO 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BARRY
REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER HINCKLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090227.BURNU.01/TAE

BARRY