FNUS74 KEWX 282011
FWSEWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COTTLE TOWN ROAD FIRE...BASTROP COUNTY EMERGENCY MGMT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
211 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1401 CST ON FEBRUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. STRONG NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE BEFORE DECREASING THIS EVENING.
GUSTS WILL DIMINISH BUT SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REMAIN 15 TO 20 MPH
THIS EVENING AND GRADUALLY DECREASE TO NEAR 10 MPH BY 9 PM.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE TEENS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY INCREASING AFTER SUNSET. OVERNIGHT
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO RECOVER ONLY IN THE UPPER 40S
AND LOWER 50S.

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ONCE AGAIN PLUMMET INTO THE UPPER TEENS
SUNDAY AFTERNOON BUT 20-FT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT OR BELOW
10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 7
                    MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 28 TO 32 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     49     43     39     36     34
RH..............19     26     32     37     42     46
20 FT WIND......N 14   N 10   N 9    N 8    N 6    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.30     25     20     15     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 14   N 10   N 9    N 8    N 6    N 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..30     25     20     15     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 16 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............32     36     45     53     58     60
RH..............51     44     31     22     18     17
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 10   N 11   N 10   N 9    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 5    N 10   N 11   N 10   N 9    N 6
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     15     15     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...25
REQUESTED BY...MIKE FISHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090228.COTTL.01/EWX