FNUS72 KJAX 021611
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR JMS...BUNNELL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1111 AM EST MON MAR 2 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EST ON MARCH 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...A COLDER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO
THE AREA TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN AND A SURFACE LOW
OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST SHIFTS NORTHEAST. TODAY...DRY AIR IN PLACE
ALONG WITH OCCASIONALLY BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE RED FLAG
CONDITIONS. ALTHOUGH RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BOTTOM OUT BETWEEN
30 AND 35 PERCENT ON TUESDAY...A DEVELOPING ONSHORE FLOW DURING
THE AFTERNOON SHOULD PRECLUDE THE 4-HOUR DURATION CRITERIA FOR RED
FLAG ISSUANCE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....44.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........15     11     19     19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     55     55     52
RH..............40     35     36     44
20 FT WIND......NW 13  NW 12  NW 10  NW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   3500   3500   2100
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 12  W 13   W 15   W 15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........19     21     18     18     19     19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     42     39     37     35     33
RH..............44     57     63     66     70     74
20 FT WIND......NW 8   NW 7   NW 6   NW 6   NW 5   NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   800    600    600    400    500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15   NW 10  N 10   N 10   N 10   N 8
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....60.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ZAPPE
REQUESTED BY...D FRESER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090302.JMS__.01/JAX