FNUS73 KPAH 021624
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR PIGEON RX...US  FWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1024 AM CST MON MAR 2 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CST ON MARCH 02.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO A WARM FRONT LATE IN THE WORK
WEEK...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL
MODERATE TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WEEK. A COLD FRONT
IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........33 AT IGNITION...MAX 36.
RH..................28 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE
                    GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2600-4100
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 21 MPH.

TIME (CST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............33  34  35  34  33
RH..............28  26  25  26  28
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   4   3
20 FT WIND GUST.            5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  13  13  14  14
HAINES INDEX....4   4   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 18.
RH..................MAX 63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............31     27     25     23     22     21
RH..............32     42     51     57     57     60
20 FT WIND......N 2    NE 2   NE 2   NE 2   NE 2   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3900   3100   2100   1300   1000   1000
TRANSPORT WIND..N 15   N 16   NE 17  NE 17  NE 14  E 9
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...WFOPADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...R  PARRISH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090302.PIGEO.01/PAH