FNUS74 KAMA 041554 FWSAMA SPOT FORECAST FOR MCCELLAN...CIBOLA NATIONAL FOREST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 954 AM CST WED MAR 4 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0935 CST ON MARCH 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CST THURSDAY... .DISCUSSION... NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THE WILDFIRE FIRE SITE AS A DEEPENING SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. 20 F0OT WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TODAY WILL BE BETWEEN 5 TO 15 PERCENT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES INCREASE TO ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND CONTINUED DRY WEATHER. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500-10500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 29 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............53 69 80 85 85 RH..............38 22 14 11 11 20 FT WIND......W 8 W 13 SW 16 SW 18 SW 16 20 FT WIND GUST.10 20 25 25 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MAX HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 23 TO 28 MPH BECOMING WEST 8 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............81 69 64 60 56 54 RH..............12 19 26 32 36 39 20 FT WIND......SW 15 S 15 S 14 SW 12 SW 13 SW 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 15 20 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........11 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 24 TO 26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11500-12500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 13 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 43 TO 52 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............51 54 67 77 83 85 RH..............42 37 23 16 12 11 20 FT WIND......SW 15 SW 17 SW 21 SW 24 W 25 W 25 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 30 35 40 40 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...BEAL REQUESTED BY...SEAN DAUGHERTY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090304.MCCEL.01/AMA