FNUS75 KPUB 042348
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR QUARRY FIRE...FORT CARSON FIRE DEPARTMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
448 PM MST WED MAR 4 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 7 PM MST THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

THE WINDS WILL DECREASE SOME THIS EVENING...BUT THERE WILL LIKELY STILL
BE OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND 35 TO 40 MPH IN SOME LOCATIONS OF THE BURN
AREA.  TOMORROW THE WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN IN THE MORNING...WITH
VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

OUTLOOK...A WEAK FRONT MAY MOVE INTO THE BURN AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
AT THIS TIME IT IS A LITTLE DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE WHETHER OR NOT THE FRONT
WILL ACTUALLY MAKE IT INTO THE AREA.  IF IT DOES THE WINDS WILL LIKELY SWITCH
AROUND TO AN EASTERLY DIRECTION. THIS SWITCH IN THE WIND DIRECTION...IF IT
DOES OCCUR...WILL BE ONLY FOR A SHORT TIME...AS THE WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED
TO AGAIN BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AND VERY STRONG BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING OR EARLY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ALSO BE VERY LOW AGAIN ON
FRIDAY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(44 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47F.
MAX HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 25-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 40 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN WEST 15-25 MPH WITH
                    OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND 35-40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 44 MPH UNTIL 1900...THEN AROUND 34
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. FAIR AFTER 0200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WINDY. WEST WINDS 30-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 58 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 51 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 0900.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...TOM TILLMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090304.QUARR.01/PUB