FNUS72 KILM 051015
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR SANDY ISLAND...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
515 AM EST THU MAR 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON MARCH 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE AREA WILL SLIP OFF THE COAST LATER
TODAY...PRODUCING GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS...AND VEERING TO SE BY AFTERNOON.
INCREASINGLY MILD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AS
MILD SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO STALL BEFORE
REACHING THE AREA.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5
                    TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800-4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........12     18     20     22
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     57     58     58
RH..............35     30     30     34
20 FT WIND......SE 2   SE 3   SE 5   SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      10     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3800   3800   4500   4400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 2    S 2    S 3    S 7

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                       AROUND 2 MPH LATE.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........25     26     26     26     27     33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     49     46     46     46     46
RH..............47     60     65     66     67     68
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 4   SE 4   S 4    S 3    SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4400   1200   500    500    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7    SE 13  S 9    S 9    S 7    SE 2

$$
FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...TOM DOOLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090305.SANDY.01/ILM