FNUS73 KJKL 051410
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST BRANCH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
910 AM EST THU MAR 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0838 EST ON MARCH 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE AREA. RH WILL DROP DOWN TO 27 PERCENT FROM
1400 TO 1500 HOURS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE INCREASING AS THE
DAY GOES ON THEREFORE THE WIND SHOULD BE INCREASING IN THE AFTERNOON.
THE COMBINATION OF THE THE LOW RH...INCREASED FUEL TEMPERATURES...
AND WINDS SHOULD CREATE A SCENARIO WHERE THE PROBABILITY OF IGNITION
SHOULD PEAK OUT IN THE AFTERNOON AND PRESENT THE PEAK OPPORTUNITY FOR
SPOTTING. WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 12 WITH GUSTS TO
                    25 MPH.
                    EVENING.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....76.

TIME (EST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........27     36     46     50     51     47
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............37     45     54     59     61     58
RH..............55     39     30     27     28     30
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 6    S 9    S 10   S 10   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     25     25     20
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........46     56     66     66     67     64
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............56     54     52     50     49     48
RH..............33     36     42     49     54     59
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 8    S 8    S 8    S 8    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      2      2      2

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........61     62     64     65     61     57
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     52     58     63     65     65
RH..............64     61     56     52     50     51
20 FT WIND......SW 8   SW 9   SW 12  SW 12  SW 9   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     20     20     20     20     10
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...JACOBSON
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090305.LOSTB.01/JKL