FNUS74 KLZK 051136 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR ERBIE COMPLEX...NPS BUFFALO NATIONAL RIVER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 536 AM CST THU MAR 5 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CST ON MARCH 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. THE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING GULF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION ALTHOUGH NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY. THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE HAS RESULTED IN A LARGE AREA OF LOW CLOUDS OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE STATE WHICH SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH LATE MORNING. ONCE THE LOW CLOUDS DO BURN OFF...HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. THE LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE SATURDAY AND BRING RAIN CHANCES BACK TO THE AREA FOR SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS IT MEANDERS AROUND THE MID SOUTH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 71. RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 32 TO 36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............66 68 69 70 70 69 69 RH..............59 55 52 50 49 50 53 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.9 9 9 9 9 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...BECOMING 3600 FT MSL. TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.36 36 36 36 36 35 35 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 33 TO 36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 1400 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............67 64 62 60 59 58 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S SW EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 7 EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 8 8 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.35 35 36 36 35 33 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74. RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 26 TO 32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............57 63 70 73 RH..............75 66 53 47 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW S EYE LVL WND SPD.7 8 9 8 EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 10 8 MIX HGT (FT)....BECOMING 3600 FT MSL TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.32 29 26 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...J GOUDSWARD REQUESTED BY...FENN WIMBERLY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090305.ERBIE.01/LZK