FNUS74 KLZK 051412
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR PILOT BLOCK 1...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
811 AM CST THU MAR 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON MARCH 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. THE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING GULF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION ALTHOUGH NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY. THE INCREASE IN
MOISTURE HAS RESULTED IN A LARGE AREA OF LOW CLOUDS OVER THE
MAJORITY OF THE STATE WHICH SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH LATE MORNING.
ONCE THE LOW CLOUDS DO BURN OFF...HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. THE LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REDEVELOP TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE SATURDAY
AND BRING RAIN CHANCES BACK TO THE AREA FOR SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS IT MEANDERS AROUND THE MID SOUTH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.

.REST OF TODAY...

TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 35 TO 36 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4100 FT MSL.

TIME (CST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............69  71  73  74  73  72
RH..............54  51  49  48  48  49
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.8   8   8   8   8   7
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  13
MIX HGT (KFT)...4100 FT MSL
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.35  35  35  35  35  35

$$
FORECASTER...L PYLE
REQUESTED BY...DOUG NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090305.PILOT.01/LZK