FNUS73 KPAH 051157
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR COLLIER GLADE...IDNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
557 AM CST THU MAR 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1150 CST ON MARCH 05.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVING EASTWARD OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST WILL GIVE
WAY TO AN INCREASINGLY WARM BUT UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 60S TODAY AND
FRIDAY WITH SOME 70S EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. HOWEVER...CLOUDS WILL BECOME MORE PREVALENT TODAY INTO
FRIDAY AS MOISTURE INCREASES ON GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS. ANY CHANCES
OF RAIN WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT AS A SERIES OF
DISTURBANCES DEVELOP OVER COLORADO AND TRACK NORTHEASTWARD. A COLD
FRONT IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY...BRINGING AN
INCREASED CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER EACH DAY WILL HAVE AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF RAIN.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    DRIZZLE.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................14 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 36 TO 40 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....DRZL      DRZL      DRZL      DRZL
TEMP............54        58        63        65
RH..............80        75        72        68
20 FT WIND......SW 8G15   SW 10G20  S 12G20   S 10G15
MIX HGT (FT)....2400      2700      2500      1900
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 40     SW 37     SW 36     SW 38
CWR.............10        10        0         0
HAINES INDEX....3         2         2         3

$$
FORECASTER...PACKETT
REQUESTED BY...BOB LINDSAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090305.COLLI.01/PAH