FNUS73 KEAX 061405 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 6...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 805 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON MARCH 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED WELL INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI...WITH LIGHT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS PREVAILING AT THE BURN SITE. AFTER IGNITION TIME SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MORE VARIABLE...VEERING MORE TOWARDS A NORTHEAST OR EASTERLY DIRECTION...YET REMAINING FAIRLY LIGHT AT UNDER 10 MPH. PERIODIC HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL PREVAIL DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS... THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM NICELY AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN AT MANAGEABLE LEVELS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-70 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AT IGNITION BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON... THEN EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH AT IGNITION BECOMING NORTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........44 46 56 58 65 67 67 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 60 62 63 64 63 61 RH..............45 41 36 34 32 33 37 20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE E 20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 8 7 7 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.12 11 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........75 80 87 90 91 91 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............59 56 52 50 48 48 RH..............45 61 72 79 85 87 20 FT WIND......NE 9 NE 9 NE 9 E 10 E 13 E 14 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 20 HAINES INDEX....5 5 3 4 4 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.40 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........92 89 84 81 83 82 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............48 48 51 55 57 58 RH..............88 94 88 84 78 75 20 FT WIND......NE 15 NE 14 E 12 E 9 E 9 NE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...OMALLEY REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090306.UNIT6.01/EAX