FNUS73 KICT 061432 FWSICT SPOT FORECAST FOR WILSON LAKE HELL CREEK AREA...U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 832 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON MARCH 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TODAY WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST IN THE MORNING SWITCHING AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST AND AROUND TO THE EAST AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH. THE WARM FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH CENTRAL KANSAS DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS AND OVERNIGHT ON FRIDAY NIGHT. WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT DURING THE DAY...BUT THEY WILL INCREASE AS THE WIND DIRECTION SWITCHES TO THE SOUTH LATE THIS EVENING. DEWPOINTS WILL BE STEADILY INCREASING OVER THE NEXT DAY AND A HALF AS THE WARM FRONT MOVES NORTH. CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN NORTH AND EAST OF THE AREA TONIGHT...BUT THERE IS A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS KANSAS OVERNIGHT SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY MORNING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-4600 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........50 53 54 55 56 58 60 61 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............53 59 63 67 69 70 70 69 RH..............26 24 23 22 21 22 24 28 20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 3 4 5 6 6 8 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.5 3.2 3.7 4.1 4.6 4.2 3.9 MIXNG WIND DIR..NE E E SE SE SE SE SE MIXNG WIND SPD..10 10 10 12 14 15 15 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........62 69 79 86 78 67 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............67 60 57 54 52 50 RH..............33 46 55 63 70 77 20 FT WIND......E 9 SE 9 S 9 S 7 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3500 1400 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......SE 14 SE 16 SE 15 S 10 S 9 S 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 3900-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 23 TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 10 TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........60 64 68 60 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............49 55 66 72 RH..............82 63 41 32 20 FT WIND......S 6G10 SW 6G10 W 7G15 N 10G25 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 2500 5000 MIXNG WIND......S 20 SW 10 S 29 SW 23 CWR.............20 20 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...SCHRECK REQUESTED BY...RYAN WILLIAMS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090306.WILSO.01/ICT