FNUS74 KLZK 061239 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR ERBIE COMPLEX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 639 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CST ON MARCH 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE PLAINS ALONG WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL CONTINUE TO BRING GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. THE SOUTHERLY WINDS ALSO CONTINUE TO BRING GULF MOISTURE NORTH...WHICH HAS GENERATED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THIS MORNING AROUND 2000 TO 3000 FT. THE LOW CLOUDS WILL LIFT BY MIDDAY...BUT ARE EXPECTED AGAIN SATURDAY MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STARTS SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION AND STALLS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 79. RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 32 TO 41 MPH DECREASING TO 28 TO 31 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3300 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............74 76 77 79 79 77 75 RH..............53 50 47 44 45 47 50 20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 14 14 13 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 25 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.9 9 8 8 8 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.13 13 13 13 13 13 13 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.30 28 28 29 30 31 32 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56. RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 32 TO 41 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 43 TO 45 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 1300 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............73 69 65 62 60 58 RH..............50 57 65 71 75 80 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 12 S 12 S 13 S 13 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 7 8 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 8 8 8 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S SW TRANSP WIND SPD.32 36 39 41 44 45 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74. RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 43 TO 45 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............57 63 69 74 RH..............81 69 60 51 20 FT WIND......S 14G15 S 15G20 S 16G20 S 15G20 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.8 9 10 9 EYE LVL WND GST.8 10 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.45 44 43 44 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...62 REQUESTED BY...FENN WIMBERLY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090306.ERBIE.01/LZK