FNUS74 KLZK 061433 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR SHIELDS KNOB...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 833 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CST ON MARCH 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED TODAY...AND BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS REACHING 30 TO 35 MPH THROUGH THE DAY. THE ELEVATED WINDS ARE A RESULT OF A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE PLAINS...AND A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST OF ARKANSAS. THE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BRING GULF MOISTURE INTO THE STATE...WHICH WILL GENERATED THE LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THIS MORNING AROUND 2000 TO 3000 FT. THE LOW CLOUDS WILL LIFT BY MIDDAY...BUT ARE EXPECTED AGAIN SATURDAY MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL START SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION AND STALLS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 78. RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 30 TO 39 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT MSL MORNING...BECOMING 3300 FT MSL AFTERNOON. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH GUSTS TO 18 AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............73 75 76 78 78 76 74 RH..............54 51 48 46 46 49 52 20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 13 12 12 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 25 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 8 7 7 6 EYE LVL WND GST.18 20 20 20 20 20 17 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.31 30 30 30 31 32 33 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 33 TO 41 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 43 TO 44 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............72 68 65 62 60 58 RH..............52 59 67 74 78 83 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 10 S 12 S 12 S 12 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 8 8 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S SW TRANSP WIND SPD.33 36 38 40 43 44 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74. RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 41 TO 44 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5100 FT MSL. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............57 64 69 74 RH..............86 71 60 51 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.7 8 9 8 EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.44 43 41 43 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...ANDY BAKER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090306.SHIEL.01/LZK