FNUS75 KGJT 091527
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOMICHI...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
927 AM MDT MON MAR 9 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0840 MDT ON MARCH 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG COLD FRONT IS STALLED NEAR SALT LAKE CITY THIS
MORNING...AND WILL PASS THE BURN SITE AROUND SUNRISE TUESDAY. UNTIL
THEN...STRONG SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WINDS AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY UP TO
ABOUT 12,000 FEET MSL WILL PROVIDE VERY GOOD MIXING. THIS MORNINGS
MODELS SHOW THE SURFACE INVERSION SETTING UP WEAKLY AFTER SUNSET. BUT
WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE WIND AND THE GRADIENT...I WOULD EXPECT
VARIABLE MIXING TONIGHT BETWEEN GOOD TO EXCELLENT CATEGORIES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-80%) THIS MORNING...PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-50%) THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-43 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (122900 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT 0900...RISING TO 3500 FT AGL
                    BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD...BECOMING EXCELLENT IN SNOW SHOWERS TOWARDS
                    MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...J  CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090309.TOMIC.01/GJT