FNUS74 KLZK 091240
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR MT  MAGAZINE SOUTH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
740 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MARCH 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THIS MORNING. SOME
AREAS MAY SEE SPRINKLES EARLY THIS MORNING AS MOISTURE OVERRUNS
THE FRONT. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE IN THE 2-3 KFT RANGE TODAY NORTH
OF THE FRONT...TO BETWEEN 3-4 KFT ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING...THEN PICKING UP TO
AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST AS THE FRONT
LIFTS TO THE NORTH. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE...WITH THE BEST
POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY STAYING TO THE
NORTHWEST OF ARKANSAS. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH LATE
ON TUESDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE
HIGHER TOMORROW AHEAD OF THE FRONT...GENERALLY IN THE 3-4 KFT
RANGE AREAWIDE...BUT ONLY 2-3 KFT AREAWIDE WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE
STRONG COLD FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 18 MPH
                       EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2300 FT MSL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7
                    MPH.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............68  69  71  72  71
RH..............62  59  56  55  56
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.16  17  18  18  17
CHC OF PCPN (%).30  30  30  30  30

.TONIGHT...

CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2100 FT MSL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
20 FT WIND......S 7    S 8    S 9    S 9    S 9    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
EYE LVL WND DIR.S      S      S      S      S      S
EYE LVL WND SPD.4      5      5      5      5      5
EYE LVL WND GST.5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....
TRANSP WIND DIR.S      S      S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD.15     13     15     20     22     20
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     30

.TUESDAY...

CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
20 FT WIND......S 8G10    S 9G10    SW 12G15  SW 12G15
CHC OF PCPN (%).30        30        30        30

$$
FORECASTER...55
REQUESTED BY...T HOOPES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090309.MTMAG.01/LZK