FNUS73 KPAH 091206 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR III-801-P...USFWS CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 706 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THAT PUSHED THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. THIS FRONT WILL LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT TONIGHT...BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP IN FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY NIGHT...RESULTING IN ANOTHER CHANCE FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS. BEHIND THE FRONT...MUCH COOLER WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 62. RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 1400-2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............49 52 55 58 60 61 62 61 61 RH..............63 58 55 51 50 50 52 54 57 20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.4 1.9 1.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 7 7 8 8 10 12 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56. RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................50 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............60 59 58 58 58 58 RH..............61 68 73 77 77 79 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 S 8 S 10 S 13 SW 14 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....900 400 300 300 400 400 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 SE 10 SE 9 SE 12 S 15 S 20 CWR.............50 50 50 40 40 40 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74. RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................60 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............57 63 69 72 RH..............83 69 58 52 20 FT WIND......SW 13G25 S 13G30 S 14G30 S 14G30 MIX HGT (FT)....700 1900 3100 3200 TRANSPORT WIND..S 24 SW 30 SW 29 SW 30 CWR.............60 60 60 60 HAINES INDEX....3 2 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PRESLEY REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090309.III80.02/PAH