FNUS74 KLZK 101147 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICKALAH BLK 10...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 647 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0655 CDT ON MARCH 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO ARKANSAS FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL STALL ALONG THE GULF COAST WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING BEHIND THE FRONT. THE HIGH WILL BRING MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS TO THE STATE. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL BE ELEVATED AROUND THE FRONT... WITH PERIODS OF RAIN IN ABOUT THE SOUTHERN HALF OF ARKANSAS. THE RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 77. RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 17 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 31 TO 37 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............68 66 65 65 66 67 68 71 74 76 77 77 RH..............70 74 74 73 71 69 66 61 54 48 44 42 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.5 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 8 8 8 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.31 31 32 32 32 32 33 33 35 36 37 37 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 40 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42. RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHEAST 30 TO 38 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. STABILITY CLASS.....3. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............76 69 63 56 51 47 RH..............41 47 55 63 68 69 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW W NW N N EYE LVL WND SPD.7 5 4 7 8 5 EYE LVL WND GST.8 5 5 8 8 5 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW NW N N NE TRANSP WIND SPD.37 38 37 35 33 31 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 60 60 60 70 70 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 47. RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHEAST 23 TO 29 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3100 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............44 43 45 46 RH..............70 66 60 52 EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.29 26 25 24 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 30 30 40 $$ FORECASTER...J LEWIS REQUESTED BY...T HOOPES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090310.CHICK.01/LZK