FNUS73 KPAH 131235 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR PENNANT BAR...USFS-SHAWNEE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 735 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MARCH 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTHEAST LATE TODAY. THIS WILL MEAN INCREASING OR CONTINUED CLOUDINESS ACROSS OUR REGION TODAY INTO TONIGHT. BY TONIGHT...CHANCES OF RAIN WILL SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF WEST KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. ON SATURDAY...RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF WEST KENTUCKY INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST INDIANA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. BY SATURDAY NIGHT...THE LOW WILL BE WELL EAST OF THE QUAD STATE REGION...TAKING ANY RAIN CHANCES OUT OF OUR AREA. DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK...ALONG WITH A GRADUAL WARM UP. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 48. RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1300-3000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............36 39 42 44 46 47 47 47 46 RH..............64 57 53 49 45 45 45 45 47 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 20 20 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 15 15 16 16 17 18 20 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35. RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 17 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............45 42 40 39 38 37 RH..............49 57 64 67 70 75 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 4 NE 5 NE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2300 2000 1700 1300 1000 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 21 NE 21 NE 21 NE 20 NE 18 NE 18 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 53. RH..................MIN 48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-2900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............36 43 49 52 RH..............79 65 58 54 20 FT WIND......NE 5G10 NE 7G20 NE 7G20 NE 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1700 2700 2900 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 17 NE 16 NE 15 NE 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...JON TEUTRINE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090313.PENNA.01/PAH