FNUS75 KBOU 142310 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK AERIAL SURVEY...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 505 PM MDT SAT MAR 14 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THIS SPOT FORECAST SHOULD NOT TAKE THE PLACE OF AN OFFICIAL FLIGHT WEATHER BRIEFING FROM THE CLOSEST FAA FLIGHT SERVICE OFFICE. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION...AIRMASS OVER THE FRONT RANGE WILL REMAIN QUITE DRY ON SUNDAY AS WINDS ALOFT REMAIN WEST-NORTHWEST IN DIRECTION. THE DAY SHOULD START OUT CLEAR AND STABLE...BUT AS THE DAY GOES ON LOOK FOR A GRADUAL INCREASE IN SOME MIDDLE AND MOSTLY HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS IN RESPONSE TO THE PASSAGE OF WEAK UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE DURING THE AFTERNOON. AFTER THIS WEAK RIPPLE PASSES EXPECT AN INCREASE IN WESTERLY WINDS PARTICULARLY IN AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. THESE GUSTY DOWNSLOPE WINDS MAY LINGER INTO THE EVENING HOURS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-13 MPH. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-54. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST 7-14 MPH INCREASING TO 16-26 MPH BY 1200 WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH AFTER 1400. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....19-24. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 8-15 MPH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 13-23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ELK AERIAL SURVEY. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/14-16 13 0 43 30 W 9 1 6034 W 12 61724 G 03/14-17 13 0 41 31 W 9 1 5711 W 13 64298 G 03/14-18 21 0 39 34 W 9 9 4 1 S 2 5345 W 7 30074 P 03/14-19 21 0 37 36 W 9 1 4602 W 14 56115 F 03/14-20 21 0 33 39 W 8 1 3816 W 14 45356 F 03/14-21 21 0 30 44 W 8 8 4 1 W 6 3438 SW 9 27204 P 03/14-22 21 0 27 47 W 7 1 2358 W 13 26643 P 03/14-23 21 0 26 49 W 7 1 1686 W 13 18689 P 03/15-00 22 0 24 50 W 7 7 4 1 W 8 1339 W 15 16893 P 03/15-01 22 0 23 51 W 8 1 913 W 14 10414 P 03/15-02 22 0 22 51 W 10 1 812 W 15 10093 P 03/15-03 22 0 21 51 W 12 12 4 1 W 6 948 W 18 15408 P 03/15-04 22 0 21 50 W 12 1 756 W 17 11238 P 03/15-05 22 0 21 48 W 12 1 800 W 18 12703 P 03/15-06 45 0 21 47 W 12 12 4 1 W14 952 W 22 17880 P 03/15-07 45 0 22 46 W 12 1 1491 W 22 31896 P 03/15-08 45 0 24 43 W 13 1 2137 W 25 49624 F 03/15-09 45 0 28 37 W 17 28 4 1 W24 2983 W 24 62155 G 03/15-10 45 0 32 32 W 20 1 3691 W 28 88195 G 03/15-11 45 0 36 28 W 22 1 4598 W 28 109037 V 03/15-12 59 0 39 25 W 18 30 3 1 W25 5810 W 36 180390 E 03/15-13 59 0 42 23 W 18 1 6349 W 29 162788 E 03/15-14 59 0 43 21 W 21 1 7192 W 31 195696 E 03/15-15 59 0 44 20 W 23 37 2 1 NW39 7783 W 36 239485 E 03/15-16 59 0 44 20 W 23 1 7329 W 33 211711 E 03/15-17 59 0 43 21 W 22 1 6622 W 35 194818 E 03/15-18 30 0 41 22 W 21 33 2 1 NW33 5754 W 32 160353 E 03/15-19 30 0 39 23 W 21 1 5386 W 32 150607 E 03/15-20 30 0 36 26 W 20 1 5018 W 32 140860 V 03/15-21 30 0 33 30 W 20 31 2 1 W28 4650 W 32 131114 V 03/15-22 30 0 31 34 W 18 1 4012 W 35 116953 V 03/15-23 30 0 30 39 W 17 1 3374 W 36 102793 V 03/16-00 30 0 28 44 W 17 28 2 1 NW33 2736 W 37 88633 G 03/16-01 30 0 27 47 W 17 1 2301 W 37 74259 G 03/16-02 30 0 26 48 W 18 1 1867 W 37 59886 F 03/16-03 30 0 26 48 W 20 31 2 1 W22 1433 W 37 45512 F 03/16-04 30 0 25 49 W 21 1 1458 W 37 46037 F 03/16-05 30 0 26 48 W 21 1 1483 W 36 46561 F 03/16-06 33 0 26 47 W 21 33 2 1 W39 1508 W 36 47086 F 03/16-07 33 0 27 46 W 20 1 1842 W 32 48214 F 03/16-08 33 0 29 43 W 18 1 2175 W 28 49341 F 03/16-09 33 0 33 37 W 17 28 2 1 W40 2508 W 23 50469 F 03/16-10 33 0 37 33 W 16 1 3522 W 23 70207 G 03/16-11 33 0 41 30 W 15 1 4537 W 23 89944 G 03/16-12 33 0 44 27 W 14 22 2 1 W43 5551 W 23 109681 V 03/16-13 33 0 47 25 W 14 1 6169 W 22 118946 V 03/16-14 33 0 49 23 W 14 1 6787 W 22 128211 V 03/16-15 33 0 49 23 W 15 24 2 1 W46 7405 W 22 137476 V 03/16-16 33 0 49 23 W 15 1 6823 W 22 131762 V 03/16-17 33 0 48 24 W 16 1 6241 W 23 126048 V 03/16-18 37 0 46 26 W 16 25 2 1 W47 5659 W 24 120333 V 03/16-19 37 0 44 28 W 16 1 5223 W 25 112580 V 03/16-20 37 0 41 32 W 15 1 4788 W 25 104826 V 03/16-21 37 0 37 38 W 14 22 2 1 W47 4352 W 25 97072 G 03/16-22 37 0 35 42 W 13 1 3557 W 26 81195 G 03/16-23 37 0 34 45 W 13 1 2761 W 28 65317 G 03/17-00 37 0 32 48 W 12 12 2 1 W46 1965 W 29 49440 F 03/17-01 37 0 31 51 W 12 1 1690 W 29 42599 F 03/17-02 37 0 30 54 W 12 1 1414 W 29 35758 P 03/17-03 37 0 30 56 W 12 12 2 1 W44 1139 W 29 28918 P 03/17-04 37 0 29 56 W 13 1 1135 W 29 28223 P 03/17-05 37 0 30 55 W 13 1 1132 W 28 27529 P 03/17-06 34 0 30 53 W 14 22 2 1 W51 1128 W 28 26834 P 03/17-07 34 0 30 52 W 15 1 1857 W 30 52422 F 03/17-08 34 0 32 48 W 15 1 2585 W 33 78009 G 03/17-09 34 0 35 43 W 16 26 2 1 W46 3313 W 36 103597 V 03/17-10 34 0 39 37 W 17 1 4029 W 38 133975 V 03/17-11 34 0 42 33 W 17 1 4744 W 39 164354 E 03/17-12 34 0 45 30 W 17 28 2 1 W40 5459 W 41 194732 E 03/17-13 34 0 47 28 W 17 1 6046 W 40 211873 E 03/17-14 34 0 48 26 W 16 1 6632 W 40 229015 E 03/17-15 34 0 49 25 W 15 24 2 1 W46 7219 W 39 246156 E 03/17-16 34 0 49 25 W 14 1 6694 W 37 218606 E 03/17-17 34 0 47 26 W 14 1 6169 W 36 191056 E 03/17-18 40 0 44 29 W 13 13 2 1 W40 5644 W 33 163507 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BAKER WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DONNA GOVAN REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20090314.ELKAE.01/BOU