FNUS73 KPAH 141233 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR ASHBY...USFS-SHAWNEE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 733 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST WILL SPREAD RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE QUAD STATE REGION TODAY. WEST KENTUCKY AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSOURI WILL SEE THE MOST RAIN...WITH LESSER CHANCES ACROSS THE REST OF THE QUAD STATE. RAIN WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST TONIGHT...WITH DRY AND MILDER WEATHER RETURNING ON SUNDAY. A GRADUAL WARM UP CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN. TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 50. RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1000-1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............44 45 46 48 48 49 49 49 49 RH..............68 68 65 63 65 63 63 66 66 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.17 18 18 20 21 21 21 22 21 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40. RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 9 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............48 45 44 43 42 42 RH..............68 76 79 79 79 76 20 FT WIND......N 5 N 4 N 2 N 2 N 1 N 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 1900 1800 1600 1300 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 21 NE 18 NE 15 NE 12 NE 10 N 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56. RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-3400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............41 47 52 55 RH..............79 68 61 57 20 FT WIND......N 2 NE 2G5 E 3G5 E 3G5 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1800 2700 3200 TRANSPORT WIND..N 9 NE 8 NE 6 E 3 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...JON TEUTRINE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090314.ASHBY.01/PAH