FNUS73 KPAH 141433 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG BAY...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 933 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST WILL SPREAD RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE QUAD STATE REGION TODAY. WEST KENTUCKY AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSOURI WILL SEE THE MOST RAIN...WITH LESSER CHANCES ACROSS THE REST OF THE QUAD STATE. RAIN WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST TONIGHT...WITH DRY AND MILDER WEATHER RETURNING ON SUNDAY. A GRADUAL WARM UP CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SPRINKLE THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........46 AT IGNITION...MAX 54. RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 6 MPH APPROACHING 10 MPH ON PEAKS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............46 48 50 51 51 51 48 46 RH..............43 40 39 41 46 52 60 68 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.8 3.7 2.0 2.0 4.6 2.2 2.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.17 15 14 14 14 14 15 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39. RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............44 43 43 42 42 41 RH..............73 70 76 76 73 76 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 3 NE 2 NE 1 NE 1 NE 1 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 MIX HGT (FT)....900 2100 1900 1700 1500 1500 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 15 NE 13 NE 10 NE 8 NE 7 N 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56. RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............40 47 53 56 RH..............79 65 57 55 20 FT WIND......N 1 E 2 SE 3G5 S 4G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 2500 3300 3300 TRANSPORT WIND..N 6 NE 5 E 5 SE 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...BOBBY BLOODWORTH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090314.LONGB.01/PAH