FNUS71 KCTP 132040 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR PRESCRIBED SUNDAY BURN...ALLEGHENY NATIONAL FOREST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 440 PM EDT FRI MAR 13 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MARCH 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESURE WILL BUILD INTO WESTERN QEUBEC ON SUNDAY. COOL AND DRY AIR WILL EXTEND FAR TO THE SOUTH OF THIS HIGH PRESSURE INTO UPSTATE NEW YORK AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA. MEANWHILE...MOISTURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL LIFT UP THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND MAY AFFECT CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA WITH SOME LIGHT RAIN OR WET SNOW. MODEL SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO DISAGREE SIGNIFICANTLY ON THE TRACK OF THIS MOISTURE...AND AT THIS TIME SUNDAYS FORECAST REMAINS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN. HOWEVER...THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO AT THIS TIME IS FOR HIGH PRESSURE TO WIN OUT...AND FOR SUNNY SKIES AND GOOD PRESCRIBED BURNING CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL. WE SHOULD HAVE A BETTER IDEA ON SUNDAYS FORECAST BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING OR SATURDAY AFTERNOON. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING WINDS........ HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........44 50 47 44 39 43 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............44 39 37 34 33 31 RH..............36 44 51 58 64 73 20 FT WIND......S 3 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSPORT WIND..M M M M M M LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING WINDS........ HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........48 51 37 33 34 34 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............29 29 35 42 46 49 RH..............82 83 65 50 43 37 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 3 E 4 NE 3 N 2 N 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 5 5 TRANSPORT WIND..M M M M M M LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...DEVOIR REQUESTED BY...GARY KOLESAR TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090315.PRESC.01/CTP