FNUS73 KPAH 151716 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR BIRCH CREEK CA...MISSOURI DEPT CONSERVATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1216 PM CDT SUN MAR 15 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1155 CDT ON MARCH 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL LIFT OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY KEEPING A CHANCE OF DRIZZLE OR POSSIBLY SOME SPRINKLES TO MUCH OF THE QUAD STATE REGION. PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST...WITH DRY AND MILDER WEATHER RETURNING MONDAY. A GRADUAL WARM UP CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL RUN LESS THAN 10 MPH THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD. A COLD FRONT WILL PROVIDE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY MID WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 57. RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS AROUND 3 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2500-3200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............54 54 55 55 56 57 57 56 RH..............68 67 65 61 58 56 57 62 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.1 2.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 800-1300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............54 49 47 45 45 44 RH..............66 78 84 89 88 89 20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 1600 1200 1100 900 800 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7 SW 9 W 13 W 14 W 14 W 12 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70. RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............43 53 64 68 RH..............93 65 47 41 20 FT WIND......SW 2G5 SW 2G5 SW 2G5 S 3G5 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1700 2500 3500 TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 W 8 W 7 W 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...PRESLEY REQUESTED BY...GARY GOGNAT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090315.BIRCH.01/PAH