FNUS75 KGJT 161611
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST VAIL...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1011 AM MDT MON MAR 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WEST FLOW WILL DOMINATE THROUGH TUESDAY.
SOMEWHAT STABLE CONDITIONS WILL LIMIT VERTICAL LOFT ONCE EARLY
MORNING INVERSIONS BREAK...BUT TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE STRONG
ENOUGH TO STILL RESULT IN GOOD DISPERSION EACH AFTERNOON. LITTLE
CHANGE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN MONDAY AND TUESDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING WEST
                    AND INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS 25-30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-22 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 10000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING WEST
                    AND INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS 25-30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...ROB MACDONALD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090316.EASTV.01/GJT