FNUS73 KPAH 161204 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR DENNING HOLLOW...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 704 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE...WILL BUILD INTO THE QUAD STATE AREA TODAY...RESULTING IN A GRADUAL DECREASE IN CLOUDS THROUGHOUT THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE TODAY...BUT GENERALLY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST THIS MORNING...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 72. RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2900-4700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............55 59 63 66 68 69 70 70 68 RH..............68 59 52 47 44 40 39 39 42 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 3.7 3.9 4.0 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1900-3000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............65 59 55 52 50 48 RH..............46 58 66 70 76 82 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 2 S 2 S 2 SW 1 SW 1 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....5000 4600 4000 3300 2700 2100 TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 W 7 SW 10 SW 13 SW 13 SW 12 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76. RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 58 70 74 RH..............86 68 46 38 20 FT WIND......SW 1 SW 5 SW 7G10 SW 7G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 2400 3200 3500 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12 SW 13 SW 15 S 17 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...WIELGOS REQUESTED BY...BOBBY BLOODWORTH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090316.DENNI.01/PAH